Draft guide
How much play gets casino comps?
Casinos do not publish a price list that says “play this much, receive that room.” They estimate what your play is worth to the house: average bet, times decisions per hour, times the house edge, times hours. Casino comps are a slice of that figure, offered at the casino’s discretion.
People who work around large destination casinos often talk about reinvestment somewhere in a wide 10% to 40% band of theo. That is a conversation range, not a measured average and not your mailer’s formula.
A planning sketch, not a median
Pick the game, then use a low, middle, and high pace and house edge. For slots this site plans on 300 / 500 / 700 spins an hour and 6% / 10% / 14% hold. For blackjack, about 50 / 70 / 90 hands and 0.5% / 0.75% / 2%. The full set is on the methodology page. These are assumptions you can override.
There is no honest single number for “how much play gets you a comp night.” A $200 theo and a $2,000 theo are different offers even when the envelope looks similar.
Read the return, not the headline
Add up the offer in cash-equivalent dollars. Divide by theoretical loss. Under 10% is weak on that backdrop, 10% to 20% is below typical, 20% to 30% is typical, 30% to 40% is strong, and above 40% deserves a second look at the inputs.
The second look matters. Score the anonymized example against a light year’s coin-in and the return looks exceptional. Score it against a heavier year and it lands near typical. The envelope did not change. The denominator did.
What this draft will not do
It will not invent a median ADT, name a host, or quote a private database. When more verified offers exist, a property page can show a range. Until then the page says so.
Up to 4 comp nights, $100 free play, $150 resort credit
Pearl · 4,157 tier credits · $100 free play · 4 nights · $150 resort credit
Grade your own offerPublished thresholds and the column glossary above are the free tier. The next rows of a worked offer table are blurred on the club pages.
Members, coming soon
The worked tables are Insider
Tier names on this page stay free. Reported offers at a tier stay locked until you submit a statement. Deeper member tools are coming soon. Nothing is charged, and no price is shown.
Questions
- Is theoretical loss the same as how much I lose?
- No. Theo is the casino’s expected win if the math plays out. Your actual win or loss swings around it. A win/loss statement shows a version of the actual; theo is the expectation used for rating.
- Should I play more to make an offer “worth it”?
- That is the wrong direction. The score tells you what the casino already offered relative to play you already did or plan to do. Chasing a better percentage by adding hours raises the amount you put at risk. Gamble only with money you can afford to lose.